Bass Pro Shops Night Race


This article is part of our NASCAR DFS series.

Bass Pro Shops Night Race

Location: Bristol, Tenn.
Course: Bristol Motor Circuit
Format: 0.53 mile oval
Turns: 500

NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race Preview

The first eliminations from the playoff field will take place this week at the Bass Pro Shops Night Race at Bristol Motor Speedway. The tight track usually produces tense and thrilling races, but the added pressure of keeping championship practice alive adds to the intrigue this week. Bubba Wallace won last week at Kansas, which means no playoff driver has won a playoff race yet this season! The only driver stuck in the next round is Christopher Bell, meaning 11 of the 12 playoff spots remain up for grabs this week. However, Kevin Harvick faces arguably the steepest climb to advance. The former champion suffered back-to-back DNFs in the playoff races and faces an inescapable scenario in Bristol. The battle around the cut line is close, with less than 10 points separating 10th from 14th in the standings. Anything can happen this week, and everything remains to be played.

Key stats at Bristol Motor Speedway

  • Number of races: 121
  • Pole winners: 27
  • Winners among the top 5 starters: 70
  • Winners among the top 10 starters: 95
  • Winners from the 21st or less: 6
  • Fastest run: 104.589 mph

Bristol’s 10 previous winners

2021 – Kyle Larson
Fall 2020 – Kevin Harvick
Spring 2020 – Brad Keselowski
Fall 2019 – Denny Hamlin
Spring 2019 – Kyle Busch
Fall 2018 – Kurt Busch
Spring 2018 – Kyle Busch
Fall 2017 – Kyle Busch
Spring 2017 – Jimmie Johnson
Fall 2016 – Kevin Harvick

This week’s visit to Bristol will test drivers on its cobbled surface. The short lap means that track position and traffic are likely to be major factors. Drivers need to manage their car well in the banked corners of the track, and they will also need to be able to change lanes in order to navigate traffic quickly. These wide corners allow drivers to choose a few different lines to help them through traffic and accommodate their tire wear throughout fuel runs. As with a typical short track, pit strategy may not be an important factor. Stops will generally occur cautiously, and the risk of going out of strategy by dipping under the green could mean getting stuck several turns behind the lead. The timing of warnings will ultimately dictate when teams stop, including stage breaks. The evening will be all about the playoff contenders as they scramble to score as many points as possible in the stages, and potentially make some big jumps at the end of the race for victory, to make sure they keep their championship hopes alive by finishing the night among the top 12 championship contenders.

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DraftKings Value Pick for Bass Pro Shops Night Race (based on standard salary cap of $50,000)

DraftKings Tier 1 Values

Denny Hamlin- ​​$11,500
Chase Elliott – $11,200
Kyle Larson- $10,800
Kyle Busch- $10,500

DraftKings Level 2 Values

Tyler Reddick- $9,900
Martin Truex Jr. – $9,700
Joey Logano – $9,500
Ross Chastain- $9,200

DraftKings Level 3 Values

Ryan Blaney- $8,900
William Byron- $8,700
Kevin Harvick- $8,500
Alex Bowman – $8,200

Long Term Values ​​of DraftKings

Austin Dillon- $7,700
Austin Cindric- $7,400
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. – $6,800
Brad Keselowski- $6,400

NASCAR DFS Pick for Night Racing Bass Pro Shops

Low-risk range ($50,000 salary cap)

Christopher Bell – $10,200
Joey Logano – $9,500
Ryan Blaney- $8,900
Austin Dillon- $7,700
Aric Almirola- $7,000
Chris Buescher- $6,600

The only playoff driver with a secure spot in the next round is Christopher Bell (DK $10,200, FD $11,500). His consistency in the first two races carried him through, and he has four top-10 finishes in the last five races. His eyes are on the jackpot and that means no act of desperation is needed this week, which should see him continue to build momentum heading into the knockout stages. Joey Logano (DK $9,500, FD $8,500) might not fit in the next locked round of eliminations, but he’ll feel confident given his points tally. Logano is also a multiple winner over Bristol on both cobbled and clay surfaces. Ryan Blaney (DK $8,900, FD $11.00) will also be looking for an error-free run. Blaney is fifth in the playoff standings, comfortably clear of the elimination zone. He has yet to win this season, but he has always been in the top 10. He finished fourth and led 45 laps in that race last season. Austin Dillon (DK $7,700, FD $7,200) still has some work to do to keep his championship hopes alive, but he remains in the thick of the fight. He’s already won big races under pressure, and qualifying for the next round wouldn’t be a shock. He has three top 10 finishes at Bristol and finished 15th in that race last season. Another race like this this week could be enough to qualify him for the next round. Veteran Aric Almirola’s (DK $7,000, FD $6,200) mission this week is simple: win. He’s not in the playoffs and has nothing to lose. He finished fifth in that race in 2020 and has three other top 10s on the track. He should be a confident top-15 selection for Fantasy Players this week. Likewise, Chris Buescher (DK $6,600, FD $5,500) is trophy hunting. He’s come close to winning several times this year and could be in the game again this week. He finished eighth in that race in 2020 and has a Bristol expert as a teammate in Brad Keselowski to lean on for additional guidance this time around.

High-risk range ($50,000 salary cap)

Kyle Busch- $10,500
Martin Truex Jr. – $9,700
Kevin Harvick- $8,500
Erik Jones- $7,900
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. – $6,800
Brad Keselowski- $6,400

With the weight of his future in the sport on his shoulders, Kyle Busch (DK $10,500, FD $12,500) could be ready for a return to form. Bad luck placed him 13th in the playoff standings. Fantasy players should remember that he led Darlington 155 laps to finish 30th. He is a master at Bristol with eight previous track wins and four top five finishes from his last five tries. Another driver who could still visit Victory Lane is Martin Truex Jr. (DK $9,700, FD $9,000). Truex has never won at Bristol, and it’s not one of his best circuits, but he has improved recently. He started on pole in last year’s race and finished seventh. Kevin Harvick (DK $8,500, FD $12,000) will swing for the close this week. He is in an inescapable situation to stay in the race for the championship, and he could still do the job. He ran very consistently in the top 10 all season and faced unpredictable issues in the first two heats. Harvick is a three-time Bristol winner with 21 top 10 finishes, including a second last year. Erik Jones (DK $7,900, FD $7,500) doesn’t boast that kind of Bristol record, but he brings three straight top 10s to the track to this week’s lineup. Having cracked the victory column just a few weeks ago, Jones remains a fantastic value option. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (DK $6,800, FD $5,800) could also provide value. He’s pretty decent on short tracks and he’s brought in six Bristol top 10s from his 17 starts in this week’s race. His best finish on the track was second in 2014. Fantasy players may also find significant value in Brad Keselowski (DK $6,400, FD $6,800) this week. H is a three-time winner at the track and has sat on pole in two of his last three tries there.

The author(s) of this article may enter daily fantasy contests, including but not limited to games for which they have provided recommendations or advice in this article. By playing these games using their personal accounts, it is possible that they are using players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. CJ Radune enters daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: cjradune, RaceDayScore: cjradune.

Helen L. Cuellar